We're in the middle of a period where real estate supply is greatly increasing due to pre-construction sales of years past.
Couple that with the uncertainty of many things, like job security, and you've got a recipe for falling prices. This is simple supply and demand.
Projected pre-construction units to be built, by year
This supply increase is expected to fall sharply in 2028, which could lead to another boom in the housing market. Until then, those who have purchased pre-construction properties (primarily condominium apartments) may feel a bit of struggle off-loading their investments. This is because current resale prices have fallen below their pre-construction purchase prices.
Let's take a step back to what this article is about- financing. What happens if you have yet to close on your pre-construction property? How will you qualify for a mortgage if prices have dropped?
This will be especially difficult if the mortgage amount needed on the property is now the value of the property.
Currently, RBC is an institution offering blanket appraisals on pre-construction units. It's a rather unusual offering to win business, and I'm not sure how it is done to be honest, but many builders have directed buyers to RBC for this solution. Essentially, they will appraise your property at your purchase price, so that you are not on the hook for any differential.
I believe as the competition increases for mortgages, you will see more institutions jumping in because this pool of mortgages is very large. I've also seen BMO ads here and there, so perhaps it's already begun.
Without these solutions, a buyer likely would be forced to provide more Cash as a down payment, which in tough conditions may also come from other debt like a 2nd mortgage or credit.
I don't want to end this blog post with doom and gloom because the market is relatively good, in my opinion, especially when it comes to freehold sales. The main thing I wanted to note was that there are solutions if you speak with the right people. Reach out anytime. Stay social!
Absorption Rate of Detached Units vs Condos